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Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Hu used agenda power to freeze out Xi

A colleague posted an interesting article in which Wang Changjiang, a cadre at the Central Party School, revealed that Hu Jintao used his agenda setting power to freeze Xi from entering the CMC. It is of course significant that Wang revealed this information, likely on behalf of Xi, which suggest some degree of dissatisfaction on the part of Xi Jinping on Hu's action. The relevant passage is:

"At the plenum, there was no reflection of personnel changes related
to the party's leadership of the military, because this was not
included in the agenda for discussion," Wang Changjiang,...

Although the party secretary general's power may be waning, it still includes agenda setting power at Politburo and PSC meetings, which in turn set the agenda for CC plenums. This power, I believe, is (somewhat) enshrined in the party constitution. If what he says is true, then it seems clear that Hu used his agenda setting power to delay Xi's entrance into the CMC. And Wang's revelation further suggests that Xi is dissatisfied with this, perhaps a lot.


China party scholar hints at Xi Jinping promotion
Reuters
Tuesday, September 22, 2009 5:52 AM
BEIJING (Reuters) - A Chinese Communist official on Tuesday held out
the possibility that Vice President Xi Jinping could still be promoted
to a military position, in a step toward ultimately taking over the
nation's top leadership post.
Some media had speculated that Xi, who is expected to succeed
President Hu Jintao in 2013, would be anointed vice chairman of the
Central Military Commission at a party plenum last week, reinforcing
his succession claim. However, the plenum closed last Friday with no
word of any personnel changes.
If Xi rises through the ranks according to schedule, it could reduce
worries about instability among the secretive inner circles of the
Communist Party, which has no transparent mechanism for choosing its
leaders.
"At the plenum, there was no reflection of personnel changes related
to the party's leadership of the military, because this was not
included in the agenda for discussion," Wang Changjiang, director
general of the Central Party School's department of education and
research on party building, told reporters.
"But there will be personnel changes at some point," he told a news
conference designed to explain the decisions of the just-concluded
plenum when asked about Xi's possible promotion.
Wang refused to be drawn any further on possible mechanisms for such a
promotion, or the timing of future meetings at which it might be
decided.
The promotion could be announced at an expanded meeting of the
Military Commission after the October 1 National Day celebration, Hong
Kong media have reported, without giving an exact date.
When Hu took over the top party, military and government positions
from his predecessor Jiang Zemin, it marked the first smooth
transition of power since the Communist Party began ruling China in
1949.
The lack of any announcement of Xi getting the No. 2 job in the
military commission suggested that Hu, who still has three years left
in his term as party chief, would wait to begin ceding positions, and
influence, to his likely successors.

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